The Margin Leak · منظومة السحاب
Distribution pays a margin leak. You just don't see the invoice.
Fragmentation is the most expensive thing in logistics that nobody puts on an invoice — failed drops, blind handoffs, leaking cash. It accrues every second.
Logistics value lost to fragmentation · this year
SAR
Modelled against the ~SAR 619B / yr global last-mile pool and SAR 244–356B / yr of blind-handoff waste — accruing in real time as you read this.
Sources: McKinsey last-mile & handoff studies · ATRI 2025 · indicative aggregate
Estimate your own exposure
The instrument
What is fragmentation costing you?
Four inputs. A transparent, citeable estimate of the margin leak on your operation — and exactly where it hides.
Your operation
Tell us the shape of it
Rough numbers are fine — drag or type.
trucks
11,000
SAR
SAR 1MSAR 5B
/ day
1050,000
Your estimated annual margin leak
SAR
Where it hides Annual cost
How we calculate this
Every figure is anchored to published research and applied to the inputs above. We deliberately use mid-range, conservative shares.
- Failed deliveries = deliveries/yr ×
15%re-delivery ×SAR 28per re-attempt. - Route deviation = fleet miles/yr ×
SAR 8.48/mi×18%avoidable distance. - Blind handoffs = carrier spend ×
9%(mid of McKinsey's 6–13%). - Shrinkage = revenue ×
1.44%of sales. - Revenue leakage = GMV ×
4%(mid of 3–7%). - Fuel & distance = fleet miles/yr ×
SAR 8.48/mi×8%excess.
Fleet miles assume 28,000 mi / vehicle / yr; carrier cost SAR 165,000 / vehicle / yr. This is an indicative estimate, not an audit.
The recoverable mirror
Most of it isn't lost. It's unmanaged.
Each red line has a green twin — the share a governed system retires, and the Sahab capability that does it.
Loss driver Today Recoverable
Turn the leak into a line item you control
It's an engineering problem